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CLEAR — Center for All-Clear SEP Forecast

Publications

CLEAR Center publications

Peer-reviewed papers and preprints produced by the CLEAR Center (27 entries). Updated as papers are accepted; click any entry to open its DOI or preprint.

2025

18 entries
  1. 01

    Bruno, A., Pesce-Rollins, M., Dalla, S., Omodei, N., Richardson, I. G., Ryan, J. M. (2025)

    The 2024 July 16 Solar Event: A Challenge to the Coronal Mass Ejection Origin of Long-Duration Gamma-Ray Flares

    Astronomy & Astrophysics, 704, A140

    DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/202556879 →
  2. 02

    Chen, X., Zhao, L., Giacalone, J., Sachdeva, N., Sokolov, I., Toth, G., Cohen, C., Lario, D., et al. (2025)

    Evidence of Time-Dependent Diffusive Shock Acceleration in the 2022 September 5 Solar Energetic Particle Event

    Astrophysical Journal, 994, 242

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ae1227 →
  3. 03

    van der Holst, B., Antiochos, S. K., Sachdeva, N., Toth, G., Dahlin, J. T., Gombosi, T. I. (2025)

    Modeling the Energy Release in Solar Eruptive Events

    Astrophysical Journal, 995, 221

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ae2479 →
  4. 04

    Farwa, G. U., Dresing, N., Gieseler, J., Vuorinen, L., Richardson, I. G., et al. (2025)

    Electron and Proton Peak Intensities as Observed by a Five-Spacecraft Fleet in Solar Cycle 25

    Astronomy & Astrophysics, 693, A198

    DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/202450945 →
  5. 05

    Lario, D., Hu, J., Balmaceda, L. A., Kwon, R. Y., Wallace, S., da Silva, D. E., Mays, M. L., et al. (2025)

    The Major Solar Energetic Particle Event on 2024 May 20: Multi-spacecraft Observations of a Long-lasting Energetic Particle Reservoir

    Astrophysical Journal in press

  6. 06

    Liu, W., Sokolov, I. V., Zhao, L., Gombosi, T. I., Sachdeva, N., Chen, X., Toth, G., Lario, D., Manchester, W. B., Whitman, K., Cohen, C. M., Bruno, A., Mays, M. L., Bain, H. M. (2025)

    Physics-based Simulation of the 2013 April 11 Solar Energetic Particle Event

    Astrophysical Journal, 985(1), 82

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/adc4e3 →
  7. 07

    Liu, W., Zhao, L., Sokolov, I. V., Whitman, K., Gombosi, T. I., Sachdeva, N., Adamson, E. T., Bain, H. M., Corti, C., Mays, M. L., Romano, M., et al. (2025)

    Simulated Real-Time Testing of the Prototype Implementation of the SOFIE Model: The 2025 Space Weather Prediction Testbed Exercise

    Space Weather submitted

    arXiv: 2511.09716 →
  8. 08
  9. 09

    Richardson, I. G., von Rosenvinge, T. T., St. Cyr, O. C., Lario, D., Mitchell, J. G., Christian, E. R. (2025)

    Solar Energetic Proton Events Observed by the High Energy Telescopes on the STEREO Spacecraft or at the Earth During the First Solar Orbit of STEREO A (2006–2023)

    Solar Physics in press

    arXiv: 2601.09630 →
  10. 10

    Sokolov, I. V., Gombosi, T. I. (2025)

    Physics-Based Forecasting of Tomorrow's Solar Wind at 1 AU

    Astrophysical Journal, 987, 83

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/add52f →
  11. 11

    St. Cyr, O. C., Richardson, I. G., Burkepile, J. T., Galloy, M., Nieves-Chinchilla, T., Thompson, B. J. (2025)

    Mauna Loa Solar Observatory K-Cor Coronagraph Observations of Coronal Mass Ejections Associated with Solar Energetic Particles

    Solar Physics submitted

  12. 12

    Koban, G., Szente, J., van der Holst, B., Toth, G., Landi, E. (2025)

    Validation of Long-term Solar Coronal Modeling Using FORWARD

    Astrophysical Journal, 280, 51

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4365/adf63f →
  13. 13

    Liu, X., Liu, W., Manchester, W. B., Welling, D. T., Toth, G., Gombosi, T. I., DeRosa, M. L., Bertello, L., Pevtsov, Alexei A., Pevtsov, Alexander A., Reardon, K., Wilbanks, K., Rewoldt, A., Zhao, L. (2025)

    Forecasting the 8 April 2024 Total Solar Eclipse with Multiple Solar Photospheric Magnetograms

    Astrophysical Journal in press

    arXiv: 2503.10974 →
  14. 14

    Vainio, R., Afanasiev, A., Gopalswamy, N., Jin, M., Makela, P., Ryan, J. (2025)

    Long Duration Gamma-Ray Flares: The Number Problem

    Solar Physics

    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02600-2 →
  15. 15

    Jin, M., Li, G., Nitta, N., Liu, W., Petrosian, V., Manchester, W. B., Cohen, C., Effenberger, F., Ding, Z., Pesce-Rollins, M., Omodei, N., Gopalswamy, N. (2025)

    Exploring the Dynamics of CME-Driven Shocks by Comparing Numerical Modeling and Observations

    Proceedings of IAU Symposium No. 388

    arXiv: 2409.18020 →
  16. 16

    Dorner, J., Effenberger, F., Fichtner, H., Becker Tjus, J., Jin, M., Liu, W., Petrosian, V. (2025)

    Proton acceleration and transport modeling

    Astrophysical Journal in press

    arXiv: 2512.01403 →
  17. 17

    Cohen, C. M. S., Mason, G. M., Christian, E. R., Cummings, A. C., de Nolfo, G. A., Desai, M. I., et al. (2025)

    Longitudinal Dependence of Heavy Ion Composition in the 2021 October 28 Ground Level Enhancement Event

    Astrophysical Journal Letters, 978(2), L35

    DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/ada24b →
  18. 18

    Muro, G. D., Cohen, C. M. S., Xu, Z., Leske, R. A., Christian, E. R., Cummings, A. C., et al. (2025)

    Radial Dependence of Ion Fluences in the 2023 July 17 Solar Energetic Particle Event from Parker Solar Probe to STEREO and ACE

    Astrophysical Journal, 981(1), 8

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/adadf7 →

2024

7 entries
  1. 01
  2. 02

    Zhao, L., Sokolov, I., Gombosi, T., Lario, D., Whitman, K., Huang, Z., Toth, G., Manchester, W., van der Holst, B., Sachdeva, N., Liu, W. (2024)

    Solar Wind with Field Lines and Energetic Particles (SOFIE) Model: Application to Historical Solar Energetic Particle Events

    Space Weather, 22, e2023SW003729

    DOI: 10.1029/2023SW003729 →
  3. 03
  4. 04
  5. 05
  6. 06

    Chen, Y., Manchester, W., Jin, M., et al. (2024)

    Solar Imaging Data Analytics: A Selective Overview of Challenges and Opportunities

    Statistics and Data Science in Imaging

    DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2024.2391688 →
  7. 07

Upcoming

2 entries
  1. 01

    Petrosian, V., Jin, M. (2026)

    Transport of High Energy Protons from CME-Shock to the Sun and its Connection to Extended Gamma-rays Observed by FERMI

    Astrophysical Journal submitted

  2. 02

    Omelchenko, Y. A., Sokolov, I., Zhao, L. (2026)

    Unified Simulation Model for Diffusive Shock Acceleration of Solar Energetic Particles

    Astrophysical Journal in preparation

Foundational references

Earlier papers that the CLEAR framework builds on — the modeling substrate and empirical methods that the Center extends and integrates.

  • Gombosi, T. I. et al. — Space Weather Modeling Framework. The modeling substrate that CLEAR builds on.
  • Sokolov, I. V. et al. — Alfvén Wave Solar-atmosphere Model (AWSoM / AWSoM-R). Real-time background solar wind.
  • Borovikov, D. et al.; Jin, M. et al. — EEGGL. Magnetically-driven CME initiation.
  • Richardson, I. G. et al. — SEPSTER / SEPSTER2D. Empirical SEP prediction from STEREO observations.
  • Posner, A. — REleASE. Electron-onset precursor for proton events.
  • Sokolov, I. V. et al. — Stream-Aligned MHD. Magnetic connectivity without spurious V-shaped field lines.

Missing a paper? Contact the center and we'll add it.